鄱阳湖湿地农户生态补偿受偿意愿及其影响因素分析——基于CVM和排序Logistic模型的实证

作者： 熊凯 孔凡斌 陈胜东  来源：江西财经大学学报 年份：2016 文献类型 ：期刊 关键词： 鄱阳湖湿地  st  条件价值评估法  c模型  i  生态补偿  受偿意愿  排序Logi 

描述：基于农户调查数据,采用条件价值评估法(CVM)和排序Logi st i c模型,对鄱阳湖湿地农户生态补偿受偿意愿及其影响因素进行分析。研究结果表明:研究区内具有生态补偿受偿意愿的农户占被调查农户总数

全文：基于农户调查数据,采用条件价值评估法(CVM)和排序Logi st i c模型,对鄱阳湖湿地农户生态补偿受偿意愿及其影响因素进行分析。研究结果表明:研究区内具有生态补偿受偿意愿的农户占被调查农户总数

鄱阳湖湿地农户生态补偿受偿意愿及其影响因素分析——基于CVM和排序Logistic模型的实证

作者： 熊凯 孔凡斌 陈胜东  来源：江西财经大学学报 年份：2016 文献类型 ：期刊 关键词： 鄱阳湖湿地  st  条件价值评估法  c模型  i  生态补偿  受偿意愿  排序Logi 

描述：基于农户调查数据,采用条件价值评估法(CVM)和排序Logi st i c模型,对鄱阳湖湿地农户生态补偿受偿意愿及其影响因素进行分析。研究结果表明:研究区内具有生态补偿受偿意愿的农户占被调查农户总数

全文：基于农户调查数据,采用条件价值评估法(CVM)和排序Logi st i c模型,对鄱阳湖湿地农户生态补偿受偿意愿及其影响因素进行分析。研究结果表明:研究区内具有生态补偿受偿意愿的农户占被调查农户总数

鄱阳湖流域史前人类遗址时空分布及其环境响应

作者： 徐佳佳 贾玉连 马春梅 朱诚 吴立 李育远 王鑫浩  来源：地理学报(英文版) 年份：2016 文献类型 ：期刊 关键词： expanded  northward  geographic  records  环境响应  鄱阳湖流域  climatic  ancient  Holocene  southeast 

描述：The temporal-spatial geographic distribution of archaeological sites and its feature between 10.0–2.8 ka BP(ka BP= thousands of years before 0 BP, where “0 BP” is defined as the year AD 1950) were determined, based on GIS spatial analysis in the Poyang Lake Basin. The relationship between geographic distribution of sites of different periods under subsistence existence of ancient civilizations, climate and environmental change was investigated. The results revealed numerous archaeological sites of the Neolithic Age(10.0–3.6 ka BP). The sites were mainly located in the northern part of the Poyang Lake Basin, a hilly and mountainous area with many river terraces suitable for the development of human civilization. The number of archaeological sites rapidly increased during the Shang and Zhou dynasties(3.6–2.8 ka BP) and spread widely on the floodplains of the middle and lower reaches of Ganjiang River and onto the west, south, and southeast beach areas of the Poyang Lake. Holocene records of climate change suggested that it was possible that climate fluctuations had a great impact on human evolution in the study area. Before 3.6 ka BP, westward and northward expansion of Neolithic cultures in the Poyang Lake watershed occurred under the background of climate amelioration(becoming warmer and wetter). The ancient people lived in the hilly areas with high elevation. The simple mode of a fishing and gathering economy was mostly suited to this area in the early Neolithic Age. The scope of human activities was expanded and cultural diversity developed in the late Neolithic Age. However, with population growth and increasing survival pressure in a dry-cold climatic stage after 3.6 ka BP, this simple living mode had to be abandoned, and various forms of economy, the majority being agriculture, were developed on flood plains of the lower reaches of numerous rivers around Poyang Lake. This promoted flourishing of the Bronze culture of South China.

全文：The temporal-spatial geographic distribution of archaeological sites and its feature between 10.0–2.8 ka BP(ka BP= thousands of years before 0 BP, where “0 BP” is defined as the year AD 1950) were determined, based on GIS spatial analysis in the Poyang Lake Basin. The relationship between geographic distribution of sites of different periods under subsistence existence of ancient civilizations, climate and environmental change was investigated. The results revealed numerous archaeological sites of the Neolithic Age(10.0–3.6 ka BP). The sites were mainly located in the northern part of the Poyang Lake Basin, a hilly and mountainous area with many river terraces suitable for the development of human civilization. The number of archaeological sites rapidly increased during the Shang and Zhou dynasties(3.6–2.8 ka BP) and spread widely on the floodplains of the middle and lower reaches of Ganjiang River and onto the west, south, and southeast beach areas of the Poyang Lake. Holocene records of climate change suggested that it was possible that climate fluctuations had a great impact on human evolution in the study area. Before 3.6 ka BP, westward and northward expansion of Neolithic cultures in the Poyang Lake watershed occurred under the background of climate amelioration(becoming warmer and wetter). The ancient people lived in the hilly areas with high elevation. The simple mode of a fishing and gathering economy was mostly suited to this area in the early Neolithic Age. The scope of human activities was expanded and cultural diversity developed in the late Neolithic Age. However, with population growth and increasing survival pressure in a dry-cold climatic stage after 3.6 ka BP, this simple living mode had to be abandoned, and various forms of economy, the majority being agriculture, were developed on flood plains of the lower reaches of numerous rivers around Poyang Lake. This promoted flourishing of the Bronze culture of South China.

鄱阳湖流域入湖径流时空变化预测

作者： 张静文 郭家力 刘佳 李英海 郭靖  来源：南水北调与水利科技 年份：2016 文献类型 ：期刊 关键词： 径流变化  三峡水库  鄱阳湖  统计降尺度  气候变化 

描述：对鄱阳湖未来入湖径流变化的准确预测可为“后三峡”时期水资源调度决策提供理论依据。基于实测资料发现,三峡水库蓄水后,鄱阳湖入湖年径流及各调度期径流均不同程度减少。通过ASD(Automated Statistical Downscaling)统计降尺度方法将GCM(General Circulation Model)输出数据与新安江水文模型耦合,得到未来鄱阳湖流域“五河七口”的入湖径流过程。结果表明,未来年径流相比实测变化幅度更小,偏多和偏少交替出现;集水面积较大的赣江、抚河和信江对鄱阳湖径流变化的贡献最大;无论A2还是B2情景下,均是蓄水期变化幅度最大、枯水期最小,且各调度期的入湖径流变化程度比年径流更大。

全文：对鄱阳湖未来入湖径流变化的准确预测可为“后三峡”时期水资源调度决策提供理论依据。基于实测资料发现,三峡水库蓄水后,鄱阳湖入湖年径流及各调度期径流均不同程度减少。通过ASD(Automated Statistical Downscaling)统计降尺度方法将GCM(General Circulation Model)输出数据与新安江水文模型耦合,得到未来鄱阳湖流域“五河七口”的入湖径流过程。结果表明,未来年径流相比实测变化幅度更小,偏多和偏少交替出现;集水面积较大的赣江、抚河和信江对鄱阳湖径流变化的贡献最大;无论A2还是B2情景下,均是蓄水期变化幅度最大、枯水期最小,且各调度期的入湖径流变化程度比年径流更大。

基于能值的鄱阳湖生态经济区耕地利用集约度时空差异分析

作者： 谢花林 何亚芬 邹金浪 吴群  来源：Journal of Geographical Sciences 年份：2016 文献类型 ：期刊 关键词： 鄱阳湖生态  cultivated  eastern  proportion  agricultural  pesticide  county  counties  fertilizer  moderate 

描述： Zone from 2000 to 2010. The results are obtained as follows:(1) Over a period of 10 years

全文： Zone from 2000 to 2010. The results are obtained as follows:(1) Over a period of 10 years

利用微卫星分子标记分析长江、赣江和鄱阳湖鲢群体遗传结构

作者： 于悦 庞美霞 俞小牧 童金苟 沈建忠  来源：华中农业大学学报(自然科学版) 年份：2016 文献类型 ：期刊 关键词： 长江  鲢  微卫星  鄱阳湖  赣江  遗传结构 

描述：观测杂合度Ho为0.802～0.821，平均期望杂合度He为0.817～0.839，表明这4个鲢群体遗传多样性较高。鲢群体间的遗传相似系数为0.922 2～0.944 1，遗传距离为0.057 6

全文：观测杂合度Ho为0.802～0.821，平均期望杂合度He为0.817～0.839，表明这4个鲢群体遗传多样性较高。鲢群体间的遗传相似系数为0.922 2～0.944 1，遗传距离为0.057 6

多元线性回归法在鄱阳湖生态经济区环保人才需求预测中的应用

作者： 张新华 彭建红  来源：山西农经 年份：2016 文献类型 ：期刊 关键词： 环保人才需求量预测  22.0  鄱阳湖生态经济区  SPSS  多元线性回归 

描述：以SPSS 22.0为实验平台,采用多元线性回归法对鄱阳湖生态经济区环保人才需求量预测指标因子进行了筛选。结果表明:科技三项费用、科学支出、固定资产投资、城镇居民人均消费性支出、第二产业生产总值等5项指标的复相关系数依次为:0.943 29,0.923 85,0.916 40,0.911 31,0.911 03,决定系数依次为:0.885 06,0.861 28,0.83115,0.828 65,0.828 46。Adjusted R Square值分别为0.841 24,0.919 96,0.783 26,0.774 28,0.772 98,对鄱阳湖环保人才保有量有较好的解释能力,适宜作为鄱阳湖生态经济区环保人才需求的预测指标。

全文：以SPSS 22.0为实验平台,采用多元线性回归法对鄱阳湖生态经济区环保人才需求量预测指标因子进行了筛选。结果表明:科技三项费用、科学支出、固定资产投资、城镇居民人均消费性支出、第二产业生产总值等5项指标的复相关系数依次为:0.943 29,0.923 85,0.916 40,0.911 31,0.911 03,决定系数依次为:0.885 06,0.861 28,0.83115,0.828 65,0.828 46。Adjusted R Square值分别为0.841 24,0.919 96,0.783 26,0.774 28,0.772 98,对鄱阳湖环保人才保有量有较好的解释能力,适宜作为鄱阳湖生态经济区环保人才需求的预测指标。

利用微卫星分子标记分析长江、赣江和鄱阳湖鲢群体遗传结构

作者： 于悦 庞美霞 俞小牧 童金苟 沈建忠  来源：华中农业大学学报 年份：2016 文献类型 ：期刊 关键词： 长江  鲢  微卫星  鄱阳湖  赣江  遗传结构 

描述：观测杂合度Ho为0.802~0.821,平均期望杂合度He为0.817~0.839,表明这4个鲢群体遗传多样性较高。鲢群体间的遗传相似系数为0.922 2~0.944 1,遗传距离为0.057 6

全文：观测杂合度Ho为0.802~0.821,平均期望杂合度He为0.817~0.839,表明这4个鲢群体遗传多样性较高。鲢群体间的遗传相似系数为0.922 2~0.944 1,遗传距离为0.057 6

农村新能源消费意愿影响因素分析——以江西省鄱阳湖经济生态区为例

作者： 周欢生  来源：商 年份：2016 文献类型 ：期刊 关键词： Logistic模型  消费因素  鄱阳湖  新能源 

描述：本文将通过以江西省鄱阳湖生态经济区为例对我国农户家庭新能源消费进行三方面研究分析。第一:我国农户能源消费现状分析,第二:基于鄱阳湖经济生态区调研数据实证分析,第三:对策与建议。运用Logistic模型回归检验法,对调查数据进行实证分析,得出影响我国农户新能源消费意愿的主要因素。笔者研究发现:我国农户新能源消费意愿与农户自身特征、家庭特征、消费特征、行为认知四大因素具有重要的相关关系。且这些方面的研究对于国家制定新能源消费政策,改善农户能源消费结构,推动农村生态经济可持续发展具有十分重要的意义。

全文：本文将通过以江西省鄱阳湖生态经济区为例对我国农户家庭新能源消费进行三方面研究分析。第一:我国农户能源消费现状分析,第二:基于鄱阳湖经济生态区调研数据实证分析,第三:对策与建议。运用Logistic模型回归检验法,对调查数据进行实证分析,得出影响我国农户新能源消费意愿的主要因素。笔者研究发现:我国农户新能源消费意愿与农户自身特征、家庭特征、消费特征、行为认知四大因素具有重要的相关关系。且这些方面的研究对于国家制定新能源消费政策,改善农户能源消费结构,推动农村生态经济可持续发展具有十分重要的意义。

农户购买太阳能热水器行为的影响因素分析——基于鄱阳湖生态经济区1500户农户数据

作者： 王火根 李娜  来源：农林经济管理学报 年份：2016 文献类型 ：期刊 关键词： 影响因素  鄱阳湖生态经济区  太阳能热水器  农村 

描述：以江西鄱阳湖生态经济区1 500户农户的调研数据为基础,建立二元Logistic模型实证分析农户购买太阳能热水器行为的影响因素。研究结果表明:农户家庭年收入、离城镇的距离、村经济发展水平、村所在

全文：以江西鄱阳湖生态经济区1 500户农户的调研数据为基础,建立二元Logistic模型实证分析农户购买太阳能热水器行为的影响因素。研究结果表明:农户家庭年收入、离城镇的距离、村经济发展水平、村所在